Dr. Carl Eisener Rotarian & ADG NWO clubs.
For those of you who think that COVID 19 is overblown and the precautions and "social distancing" are more stringent than they need be, let me give some local perspective:
We know that COVID 19 is transmitted by water droplets, exactly the same as Influenza or the common cold. We know that about 2% to 3% of people who get COVID 19 get sick enough to require a ventilator.
One-half of those will die.
In Canada and the USA, there are 20 ventilators per 100,000 people, according to news reports from USA and Canada -- about 1 per 5,000 population. In Dryden we have 2 or 3 ventilators at the hospital. With the Dryden Hospital service area of 10,000 to 15,000, that is about average for Canada and the USA. This means that if there are 100 cases of COVID 19 in the Dryden catchment area, all of our ventilators will be full, and the next person to need one will die, unless someone on a ventilator dies first. It is unlikely that we would be able to send the critically ill out, because everyone else will be in the same boat. That is with only 100 cases in the entire area. We never have even a mild influenza season without more than 100 cases.
The idea of the social distancing and the closing down of public spaces is to decrease the transmission rates to, hopefully, decrease the total number of cases, and just as important, to slow down the transmission so that even if we end up with the same number of cases, they won't be all at once, and there will always be a ventilator available for someone who needs it.
These are my thoughts. Please feel free to share them. Keep safe and keep well